-
Period: 1200 BCE to
first stage
High birth and stable
Crude death rate -> sporadic incidence of famine, disease and war
Infant mortality is high and life expectancy low
High proportion of the population under age 15
Population growth is very slow -
Period: to
second stage
Death rate declines significantly
Birth rate remains as its precious level
Infant mortality falls and life expectancy increases -
Period: to
third stage
Lower level of mortality
Birth rate begins to decline --> due to the aftermath of the dictatorship
Life expectancy continues to increase
Infant mortality to decrease -
Period: to
fourth stage
Birth rate and death rate are low
Slightly higher, fluctuating somewhat due to changing economic conditions
Slow population growth
Death rates slightly rise as the average age of the population increases.